no legislation regarding how much intelligence a machine can
have, how interconnected it can be. If that continues, look at
the exponential trend. We will reach the
singularity in the timeframe most experts predict. From
that point on you're going to see that the
top species will no longer be humans, but machines. "
These are the
words of Louis Del Monte,
physicist, entrepreneur, and author of
The Artificial Intelligence Revolution.
Del Monte spoke to us over the phone about his thoughts
surrounding artificial intelligence
and the singularity,
an indeterminate point in the future when
machine intelligence will
outmatch not only your own intelligence, but the world's
combined human intelligence too.
The average estimate
for when this will happen is 2040,
though Del Monte says
it might be as late as 2045.
Either way, it's a timeframe of within
be the 'Terminator' scenario,
not a war," said Del Monte.
"In the early part of the post-singularity
world, one scenario is that the machines will seek to
turn humans into cyborgs.
This is nearly happening now, replacing faulty limbs with artificial
parts. We'll see the machines as a useful tool. Productivity
in business based on automation will be increased dramatically
in various countries. In China
it doubled, just based on GDP per
employee due to use of machines."
end of this century," he continued, "most of the human
race will have become cyborgs,
part human and part machine. The allure will be immortality.
Machines will make breakthroughs in medical technology,
most of the human race will have more leisure time, and we'll
think we've never had it better. The concern I'm raising is that
the machines will view us as an unpredictable and dangerous species."
robots exterminate us or serve us?
photo copyright © 1984
Monte believes machines will become
self-conscious and have the capabilities to protect themselves.
They "might view us the same way we view harmful insects."
Humans are a species that "is unstable, creates wars, has
weapons to wipe out the world twice over, and makes computer
viruses." Hardly an appealing roommate.
He wrote the
book as "a warning." Artificial
intelligence is becoming more and more capable, and we're
adopting it as quickly as it appears. A pacemaker operation is
"quite routine," he said, but "it uses sensors
and AI to regulate your heart."
2009 experiment showed that robots can develop the ability
to lie to each other. Run at the Laboratory
of Intelligent Systems at the
Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale at
Lausanne, Switzerland, the experiment had robots designed
to cooperate in finding beneficial resources like energy and
avoiding the hazardous ones. Shockingly, the robots learned to
lie to each other in an attempt to hoard the beneficial resources
is that they're also learning self-preservation,"
Del Monte told us. "Whether or not they're conscious
is a moot point."